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Trump vs DeSantis in Swing States

A poll conducted by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates that surveyed likely voters in three key swing states: Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Florida. The poll provided the following data:

  1. Former President Trump’s Influence:
  • In Arizona, 51% of voters viewed Trump’s influence on the Republican Party as mostly negative, while 40% viewed it as mostly positive.
  • In Pennsylvania, 52% of voters viewed Trump’s influence as mostly negative, while 39% viewed it as mostly positive.
  • In Florida, 55% of voters viewed Trump’s influence as mostly positive, while 37% viewed it as mostly negative.
  1. 2024 Senate Races:
  • In Arizona, 45% of voters indicated that they would vote for the Democratic candidate in the 2024 Senate race, while 43% indicated they would vote for the Republican candidate.
  • In Pennsylvania, 49% of voters indicated they would vote for the Democratic candidate in the 2024 Senate race, while 39% indicated they would vote for the Republican candidate.
  • In Florida, 47% of voters indicated they would vote for the Republican candidate in the 2024 Senate race, while 45% indicated they would vote for the Democratic candidate.
  1. Governor DeSantis’ Approval:
  • In Arizona, 53% of voters indicated that they disapprove of the job Governor DeSantis is doing, while 39% approve.
  • In Pennsylvania, 55% of voters indicated that they disapprove of the job Governor DeSantis is doing, while 34% approve.
  • In Florida, 53%
  • of voters indicated that they approve of the job Governor DeSantis is doing, while 42% disapprove.
  1. COVID-19 Vaccines:
  • In Arizona, 71% of voters indicated that they have already received the COVID-19 vaccine or plan to do so, while 29% do not plan to get vaccinated.
  • In Pennsylvania, 66% of voters indicated that they have already received the COVID-19 vaccine or plan to do so, while 34% do not plan to get vaccinated.
  • In Florida, 47% of voters indicated that they have already received the COVID-19 vaccine or plan to do so, while 53% do not plan to get vaccinated.

Overall, the poll suggests that opinions in these three key swing states are divided on several political issues. While a majority of voters in Arizona and Pennsylvania view Trump’s influence on the Republican Party as mostly negative, a majority of voters in Florida view it as mostly positive. Similarly, while a majority of voters in Arizona and Pennsylvania would vote for the Democratic candidate in the 2024 Senate race, a majority of voters in Florida would vote for the Republican candidate. The poll also suggests that Governor DeSantis’ approval ratings are highest in Florida, and that vaccine hesitancy is higher in Florida than in Arizona and Pennsylvania.


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