Who might run for president in 2028, and how prediction markets price their chances. We update the odds regularly; the date under the table shows when.
734 days until Election Day, November 7, 2028
| Candidate | Party | Win the presidency | Win the nomination | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | Republican | 18% | 37% | Vice president. Has not declared. |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Democrat | 12% | 16% | U.S. representative, New York. Has not declared. |
| Gavin Newsom | Democrat | 12% | 15% | Governor of California. Has not declared. |
| Marco Rubio | Republican | 8% | 19% | Secretary of state. Has said he would not challenge Vance. |
| Kamala Harris | Democrat | 4% | 5% | Former vice president. Has not declared. |
| Pete Hegseth | Republican | <1% | <1% | Secretary of defense. Called a report that he is running “100% false.” |