Trump’s Approval Rating by State

(Mid-2025 Snapshot)

As the 2026 midterms approach, former President Donald Trump continues to stir strong opinions across the country. A new report breaks down his job approval by state, revealing where he’s gaining ground and where support is starting to erode.

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🔥 Trump’s Strongest States (Approval 50% and above)

These states remain firm in their support for Trump, consistently showing majority approval:

• Wyoming
• Idaho
• West Virginia

These are deep-red states where Trump’s base remains energized and loyal.

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⚖️ Toss-Up or Battleground States (Approval 45%–49%)

These states show mixed support, and many of them are key electoral battlegrounds:

• Texas
• Ohio
• South Carolina
• Georgia
• Michigan
• Wisconsin
• Pennsylvania

Support in these regions is hovering just below 50%, making them critical swing states for either party. In some cases, disapproval now outweighs approval an important trend to watch.

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❄️ States with Weak Support (Approval below 45%)

Trump’s approval dips significantly in these areas:

• Virginia
• New Jersey
• North Carolina
• California
• Massachusetts
• New York

In these mostly blue or blue-leaning states, his support remains low often in the mid-30s to low-40s range. These regions have been historically tough terrain for him.

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🧭 National Context

• Trump’s national average hovers around 44–47%, with disapproval typically running a bit higher.
• While he enjoys strong backing in red states, swing states show signs of wear, which could be critical heading into 2026.
• Support among independent voters remains shaky, especially in suburban districts that flipped blue in recent elections.

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🗳️ Why It Matters

This map tells a story not just of political preference, but of momentum. Trump’s base is rock-solid in conservative states, but he faces growing challenges in key regions he needs to win back.

If the numbers in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin hold or continue to drop Republicans could find 2026 tougher than expected.

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Bottom Line:
Trump still commands intense loyalty in Republican strongholds, but the path to a broader comeback depends on reversing trends in critical swing states. How these numbers shift over the coming months will shape the political landscape ahead of 2026.