Special Poll
In a recent Quinnipiac University poll, former President Donald Trump is edging out President Joe Biden by three points, 48% to 45%, among Michigan’s registered voters in a potential 2024 general election showdown. Conducted shortly after Biden’s State of the Union address, the poll reveals a widening gap to five points in favor of Trump when the race expands to include five candidates, introducing independents Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Green Party’s Jill Stein into the mix.
In this broader scenario, Trump leads with 41% support, followed by Biden at 36%, Kennedy at 10%, Stein at 4%, and West trailing with 3%. Party loyalty remains strong, with 94% of Republicans backing Trump and 93% of Democrats supporting Biden. Among independents, a slight preference for Trump is observed, with 46% leaning his way compared to 42% for Biden.
Quinnipiac University’s polling analyst Tim Malloy highlighted the intense competition brewing between Biden and Trump, noting, “With a big electoral prize hanging in the balance and their parties equally enthusiastic about their candidates, Biden and Trump brace for a combative rematch.”
Michigan is shaping up as a critical battleground state for the 2024 presidential race, with Trump currently holding a 3.3 percentage point lead over Biden in head-to-head polls, according to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s polling average.
Voters’ primary concerns heading into the election center around preserving democracy (22%), the economy (21%), and immigration (21%), with significant differences in priorities across party lines. Democrats are most concerned with preserving democracy, while Republicans prioritize immigration, and Independents focus on the economy.
Despite 65% of Michigan’s registered voters viewing the state of the economy negatively, 61% describe their personal financial situation positively, an intriguing contrast highlighted by Malloy.
The survey, capturing the sentiments of 1,487 self-identified registered voters in Michigan from March 8-12, 2024, carries a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.
