A new poll from Quinnipiac University shows that former President Donald Trump maintains a strong lead in the race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. Trump receives 62% support among Republican and Republican-leaning voters, up slightly from 57% in August.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is in second place with 12% support, followed by entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy with 6%, former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley and former Vice President Mike Pence with 5% each, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott with 3%, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie with 2%. All other listed Republican candidates receive less than 2% support.
The poll also found that half of Republican and Republican-leaning voters who support a candidate in the 2024 Republican presidential primary are firmly set on their choice, while 48% say they might change their candidate choice depending on what happens leading up to the primary. Among those voters supporting Trump, 68% are firmly set on him, while 29% say they might change their candidate choice.
Biden Maintains Strong Lead in 2024 Democratic Primary
In the 2024 Democratic presidential primary, President Biden receives 73% support among Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters. Environmental lawyer and anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 11% support, and author Marianne Williamson receives 8% support.
The poll also found that 39% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters who support a candidate in the 2024 Democratic presidential primary are firmly set on their choice, while 58% say they might change their candidate choice depending on what happens leading up to the primary. Among those voters supporting Biden, 51% say they might change their candidate choice, while 46% say they are firmly set on Biden.
What Does This Mean?
The poll results suggest that Trump is the clear frontrunner in the race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. However, it is important to note that the race is still far from over and that things could change between now and the primary. DeSantis and other potential candidates could make gains if they are able to mount a strong challenge to Trump.
In the Democratic primary, Biden also appears to be the frontrunner, but his lead is not as strong as Trump’s in the Republican primary. This suggests that the Democratic primary could be more competitive than the Republican primary.
It is still too early to say who will win the 2024 presidential election, but the Quinnipiac poll provides some interesting insights into the early state of the race.