President Trump is currently seeing a net positive approval rating on only one major policy area: immigration. According to the latest averages from Nate Silver’s “Silver Bulletin,” updated on Monday, immigration remains the only issue where Trump maintains more support than opposition.
On immigration, the average approval stands at 49.6%, with disapproval at 47.2% giving Trump a modest net positive margin of 2.5 percentage points. This issue has consistently been one of Trump’s political strengths. He began his second term with a 7-point net approval on immigration, and his numbers peaked in early March with an 11.1-point net positive rating. Although he briefly dipped into negative territory between mid-April and early May, he has since regained a slim lead.
By contrast, Trump is underwater on the three other key issues tracked by the Silver Bulletin: the economy, trade, and inflation.
Trump’s approval on the economy initially looked promising. When his second term began, he enjoyed a net 6-point positive approval in this area. For a short time in late January and early February, economic approval even outpaced immigration, with a net positive rating of 8.3 points compared to 8.1 for immigration. However, that trend reversed by mid-February.
As of the beginning of June, Trump’s average approval on the economy has sunk to a net negative 11.3 points. Just 42.1% of Americans approve of his economic performance, while 53.4% disapprove reflecting growing dissatisfaction amid fluctuating markets and concerns over fiscal policy.
On trade, Trump is also in the red, with a net negative rating of 9.6 points. And on inflation, the numbers are even worse. Voter sentiment is sharply negative, with a 17.5-point deficit between approval and disapproval. These figures suggest that while Trump’s messaging on border security continues to resonate with a portion of the electorate, his broader economic approach is struggling to gain traction.
The Silver Bulletin’s data underscores a clear challenge for the administration: while immigration remains a reliable source of support for Trump, his approval on pocketbook issues is faltering a potentially dangerous trend as economic concerns weigh heavily on voters ahead of the 2026 midterms.
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