President Trump’s sweeping new policy package dubbed the “Big, Beautiful Bill” is generating a sharply divided response from voters, according to a newly released national poll.
The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris poll reveals an even 44% of voters in favor of the bill and 44% opposed, with the remaining 12% undecided. The split highlights the politically charged nature of the legislation as both major parties ramp up messaging ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
Among the most popular elements of the bill are proposals that expand health savings accounts and boost aid for farmers and disaster recovery, which earned a 76% approval rating from respondents. Also favorably viewed are the plans to slash federal spending by $1.3 trillion (69% support) and establish a permanent child tax credit of $2,200 per family (67%).
However, some provisions proved far less popular. Only 31% supported removing registration and tax requirements for firearm silencers. A proposed 5% tax on money transfers sent abroad garnered just 43% support. The bill’s adjustment to the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap raising it to $40,000 for households earning under $500,000, then cutting it to $10,000 after five years received a lukewarm 47% approval.
Voters are also split on the broader economic impact of the legislation. According to the poll, 48% believe the bill will strengthen the economy, while 52% say it will do more harm than good.
Republicans are leaning on the bill’s popular tax cuts and spending reductions to energize their base, portraying it as a return to fiscal discipline and economic growth. Democrats, meanwhile, are zeroing in on the bill’s cuts to Medicaid and other safety net programs, framing it as harmful to vulnerable communities.
With voters split and the bill’s provisions under a national microscope, political analysts say its long-term impact could shape the narrative heading into the 2026 elections.
“Like everything else in American politics right now, the country is split down the middle,” said Mark Penn, chair of the Harris Poll. “Still, there are a number of well-received tax and savings measures that Republicans could highlight as real wins.”
The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll was conducted online from July 6–8, surveying 2,044 registered voters. The data was drawn from the Harris Panel and adjusted to match known demographics. The poll carries a margin of error of ±2.2 percentage points.
As both parties continue to push competing narratives around Trump’s marquee legislation, voters remain the ultimate arbiters of whether the “Big, Beautiful Bill” will be remembered as a political asset or a liability.
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