Special Poll
In an unexpected twist on the political stage, a recent Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll reveals that former President Trump is outpacing both President Biden and the Democrat-turned-independent, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., in a speculative three-way presidential race. 🏁
Here’s the scoop: In this riveting scenario, Trump garners a solid 39%, leaving Biden trailing with 33%, and Kennedy at 19%. An additional 9% were on the fence, unsure of where to cast their vote. But when pressed to choose, the numbers shift slightly, boosting Trump to 42%, Biden to 36%, and Kennedy to 22%. 📊
But wait, there’s more! In a head-to-head race, it’s Trump who holds a 5-point advantage over Biden, clocking in at 46% versus Biden’s 41%, with a notable 14% still undecided. And while both candidates saw a slight uptick since September, Trump’s 2-point gain slightly overshadowed Biden’s 1-point rise. 📈
However, it’s not all rocky terrain for Biden. He still maintains a lead over other potential contenders like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley, albeit with narrower margins. 🌟
And in the Republican corner? Trump dominates the field for the 2024 primary, securing a whopping 60% support among GOP voters, leaving DeSantis in a distant second with 11%. 🎉
“Trump’s polling is like defying gravity! He’s not just leading the primary, but he’d also clinch the presidency if elections were held today. Kennedy’s presence doesn’t seem to shake that outcome,” observes Mark Penn, co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll. “Sure, there’s a long road ahead with countless variables, but as of now, Trump’s starting with a substantial lead.” 🚀
This eye-opening survey, a joint effort by Harvard University’s Center for American Political Studies and the Harris Poll, engaged 2,116 registered voters online on Oct. 18-19. While it’s a representative sample, it doesn’t report a probability confidence interval, keeping things even more suspenseful! 🤯
Stay tuned as this political saga continues to unfold! 🍿👀
