Special Poll
- Vice President Kamala Harris now holds a three-point lead over former President Donald Trump in Iowa, as shown by the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll.
- Harris wasn’t widely expected to be competitive in Iowa. However, pollster J. Ann Selzer is highly regarded for accuracy in Iowa polling, which suggests potential surprises on election night.
- Harris leads Trump by 20 percentage points among women voters and has reduced Trump’s lead among male voters by half since September. The poll was conducted from Oct. 28-31 among 808 likely voters in Iowa.
- In the previous poll taken in September, Trump held a four-point lead over Harris. This shift shows significant movement in voter preferences over the past month.
- Pollster J. Ann Selzer commented on the unexpected nature of these results, noting, “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” when speaking to the Des Moines Register.
- While Selzer’s polling is respected, even the most accurate pollsters can miss the mark, adding a level of unpredictability to the final outcome.