Special Poll
A recent survey provides insight into potential candidates for the 2028 presidential election, highlighting preferences from both Democratic and Republican voters. Here’s a summary of the findings, tailored for an audience over 50:
Democratic Voter Preferences
- Kamala Harris: Despite her recent loss to President-elect Donald Trump in 2024, Vice President Harris is the favored Democratic candidate for 2028, with 41% of likely Democratic voters supporting her.
- Other Leading Democrats:
- California Gov. Gavin Newsom: Secures 8% support.
- Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro: Gathers 7% of the vote.
- Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz: Harris’s vice-presidential pick, ties with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg at 6% each.
- Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.): Receives 4% support.
- Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer: Registers at 3%, while Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear follow with 2% each.
- Colorado Gov. Jared Polis and Maryland Gov. Wes Moore: Both earn 1%.
- Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.): The 2020 presidential primary candidate has 2% backing.
- Undecided or Alternate Choices:
- 16% of respondents remain unsure about their preferred candidate.
- 1% favor someone else entirely.
Republican Voter Preferences
- Vice President-elect JD Vance: Leads the Republican field with 37% support for 2028.
- Other Key Contenders:
- Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy: Both former 2024 candidates tie at 9% each.
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis: Follows closely with 8%.
- Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Marco Rubio (R-Fla.): Each garner 5%, with Rubio slated to become Secretary of State in Trump’s administration.
- Undecided or Alternate Choices:
- 18% remain unsure about their preference.
- 3% express a desire for another candidate.
Additional Context
- Harris’s 2024 loss was significant, with Trump winning all seven battleground states, the popular vote, and making gains in traditionally Democratic areas.
- The survey highlights the shifting dynamics within both parties as they prepare for the future.
Poll Details
- Conducted: November 14–18, 2024
- Sample Size: 1,010 likely voters
- Margin of Error: ±3.5 percentage points
These results show that while Harris remains a strong contender within her party, both Democrats and Republicans are considering a wide range of candidates as they look toward 2028.