Special Poll
A recent poll indicates potential challenges for former President Donald Trump amid his ongoing criminal trial in Manhattan related to hush money payments.
Trump, the likely Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential race, made history last month as the first former U.S. president to face a criminal trial. He was indicted in March 2023 by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg on 34 counts of allegedly falsifying business records connected to payments made to adult film actress Stormy Daniels during his 2016 campaign. Daniels claims to have had an affair with Trump in 2006, which he denies. Trump has pleaded not guilty to all charges, dismissing them as politically motivated.
Despite facing these charges and three other criminal indictories to which he has also pleaded not guilty, polling between Trump and his potential opponent in November, incumbent President Joe Biden, remains close.
However, Trump’s standing could shift dramatically depending on the trial’s outcome. An ABC News/Ipsos poll, conducted by Langer Research Associates from April 25 to 30 and released on Sunday, shows that 80 percent of Trump’s supporters would continue to support him even if he were convicted in the hush money case. Conversely, 20 percent of his supporters indicated they would reconsider (16 percent) or withdraw (4 percent) their support if he were convicted.
The poll surveyed 937 Trump supporters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent. The overall national poll included 2,260 adults and had a margin of error of 2 percentage points. Among those surveyed nationally, 31 percent identified as Democrats, 29 percent as Republicans, and 28 percent as independents.