Recent polls are showing former President Donald Trump taking a considerable lead over President Joe Biden in crucial swing states, signaling a strong position for Trump in the race for the 2024 presidency. With less than a year to Election Day, these polls suggest Trump’s dominance in securing the GOP nomination and potentially reclaiming the White House.
In hypothetical match-ups including third-party candidates, Trump is ahead of Biden in pivotal states like Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania – all of which Biden won in 2020. To secure a victory in 2024, Trump would need to flip some of these states.
While the polling numbers indicate Biden has work to do, political experts and strategists note that the landscape can shift significantly in the remaining 10 months before the election.
A CNN poll highlighted Trump’s lead in Georgia and Michigan, states Biden narrowly won in 2020. Additionally, a majority in both states believe Biden’s policies have negatively impacted the economy, despite the White House’s claims of a robust economic performance.
Bloomberg News/Morning Consult released a poll with less favorable results for Biden, showing him trailing Trump in several key swing states. This poll also included options for third-party candidates and an ‘unlisted candidate’ choice.
Despite these challenges, Biden’s campaign remains confident, focusing on his administration’s achievements like the CHIPS and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act. However, Biden also faces internal party divides and a consistent approval rating around 40%.
David Axelrod, former senior adviser to President Obama, expressed concerns about Biden’s standing against Trump, especially given his current approval ratings.
Meanwhile, Trump maintains strong support within the GOP, evident from a recent Iowa poll and his resilience amidst various legal and political controversies.
Polling firm BSP Research’s co-founder, Matt Barreto, cautions against overemphasizing current polls, noting that the focus will shift more towards Trump as the election nears, potentially changing the dynamics of the race.
As the 2024 election approaches, both candidates are gearing up for what may be another closely contested race, with Biden ramping up fundraising efforts and Trump consolidating his position within the GOP.