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Biden Gets Great News As Trump Fades

In a recent Marist/PBS NewsHour national poll, President Biden is shown to have a narrow lead over former President Trump among voters. The poll, which surveyed registered voters, indicates a 51-48 percent lead for Biden, marking a slight increase from an earlier poll this month which had Biden at 50 percent against Trump’s 58 percent.

The gap widens slightly among those who are certain they will vote in the upcoming November election, with Biden leading 53-47 percent. Among independent voters, however, the race is evenly split at 49 percent for each candidate, with a small fraction, two percent, still undecided.

Even when the poll accounts for independent and third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein, Biden maintains his lead. In this broader field, Biden garners 43 percent to Trump’s 38 percent, while Kennedy Jr. attracts 14 percent of the overall support, including significant percentages from Democrats, Republicans, and particularly independents.

The polling data, collected from April 16-18 among 1,192 adults, including 1,047 registered voters, coincides with the initial week of Trump’s hush money trial in New York City. The poll’s margin of error is approximately 3.4 percentage points.

These recent gains for Biden in national polls reflect a potentially tight race, echoing the sentiments of strategists who anticipate a closely contested election similar to the 2020 matchup, which Biden won. However, Trump appears to have an edge in several key battleground states according to averages from Decision Desk HQ, leading in states like Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. Biden, meanwhile, shows stronger performance in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

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